2025-10 | OP Shrouded Lance - 08 | J-2 Report
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 07 - 25/10
Intelligence Collected
ITEM 1 - HUMINT #303825SL28
Positive Identification (PID) of two JPEL-1 targets, Niko Žižek (RIGGWELTER) and Strike Team member Orešnik (NOVA MEDIC), secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA as well as civilian medical staff.
ITEM 2 - SIGINT #303925SL29
PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA, material includes a transfer of $4,200,000 (USD) in cypto currency to an unknown payee. Note attached on the transfer confirms that the receiving party is working with a secondary NOVA team in order to arrange exfiltration of the President, Lavrencij Krečič. It is believed at this stage that Krečič has been evacuated from the country covertly.
ITEM 3 - SIGINT #304025SL30
Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE PILLAR, material includes outbound laptop communications detailing orders to prepare a ballistic missile system within the city of Sušice. The movement of four additional systems were cancelled and orders to exfiltrate the assets were cancelled, likely to due pressure applied by the Task-Force alongside additional factors (REL: TRIGGER #304125SL31).
ITEM 4 - SIGINT #304125SL31
PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH BRAVO, material includes an outbound E-Mail to an unknown recipient sent by Lavrencij Krečič. The message covers the failure to covertly exfiltrate ballistic missile assets out of the country, likely due to pressure applied by the Task-Force (REL: TRIGGER #304025SL30), as well as indication of further actions relating to Krečič's exfiltration plan given the change of circumstances.
ITEM 5 - SIGINT #304225SL32
PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH BRAVO, material includes an outbound text-message found on the body of a person of interest with a uniform similar to JPEL-2 target, identified in prior J-2 Report (REL: TRIGGER #302625SL16). The message confirms the exfiltration of a VIP out of the AO, likely to be Lavrencij Krečič, with the specific mention of "Glory to Toska"
Deployment Intelligence Breakdown
The Intervention Task-Force has secured an overwhelming majority of territory within Novihrastova including the recent capture of the capital city. Surrenders of NNDF regulars and reservists are expected over the coming weeks, demilitarisation efforts will be handled by elements of 4 PARA (R) and incoming elements of 2 SCOTS and 6 SCOTS (R) in order to relieve existing Task-Force components, specifically UK Commando Forces (UKCF) and 2 PARA. Žan Kmetič (C/S: SHEPHERD) will be forming a provisional government in place of the fractured establishment to assist with national stability.
INTERPOL are set to publish a RED NOTICE for Lavrencij Krečič, J-2 are pursuing leads on "Toska" and the individuals relating to SIGINT Trigger #304225SL32. At this stage it is believe that the Armament programme was set to provide and supply ballistic missile launch systems to mentioned "benefactors" as well as add to the NNDF arsenal. MAB-11 have confirmed via questioning of the Former Defence Minister, Andre Gradišnik, that the Former Economic Minister, Niko Žižek, was involved in the allocation of funds and coordinating the procurement of assets supporting the armament programme.
GCHQ Attache, Alastair Blackwood, has confirmed that he is coordinating further investigation into the programme based on the procured intelligence secured by the Task-Force, MAB-5 (CNOEU) and MAB-11 (DHU) are still extracting intelligence from infrastructure and persons of interest at this stage.
SIGINT #303925SL29
[Email - Sent][Translated]
Subject: Payment confirmation — USD 4,200,000 (crypto)
We completed a crypto transfer of USD 4,200,000 to the wallet you provided. Please confirm receipt and the transaction ID on your end.
Send confirmation and any additional changes to the extraction plan to the NOVA team you've been working with already. I've already received confirmation of their arrival a few minutes ago.
Regards,
Niko Žižek
Economic Minister, Novihrastova
SIGINT #304025SL30
[Comms data - Received][Translated]
Subject: Deployment & Stockpiling plans, updated.
Issued by: Lavrencij Krečič
Deploy one (1) launcher from the Repurposed Ammo Depot to the capital city for initial field testing. The remaining four (4) launchers shall be retained in secure, concealed stockpiles till new plans for export are put in place.
Deployment plan:
Launcher to be moved: 1 unit
Destination: Capital city, near headquarters for demonstration and testing.
Timeline: 12 hours from receipt of this directive.
Stockpile instructions:
Number of launchers to conceal: 4 units.
Location(s): Remain within assembly site (MS Hurvinke) but at a transport ready posture.
Security measures: Area will be lightly manned and appropriate to the previous designation as an ammo depot. QRF on standby.
The pre‑planned shipment of the four (4) launchers is hereby cancelled. All units responsible for transport are to cease any movement of these items and await further transport orders.
SIGINT #304125SL31
[Email - Sent][Translated]
Subject: Re: Delivery of assets — unable to proceed
After a thorough review, we cannot proceed with the delivery of the launch vehicles and missiles. There is no feasible way to export or covertly transfer these items as requested. I regret the disruption this causes yourself and our mutual benefactor.
Please confirm receipt of this message and advise how you would like to handle the agreed upon extraction plan going forward. While we may not be able to provide the missiles as planned, we may further provide support with funding and political allies within the region for further plans.
Sincerely,
Lavrencij Krečič
President, Novihrastova
SIGINT #304225SL32
[Text message - Sent][Translated - Russian]
VIP has been extracted. Executing diversionary tactics now. Long Live Toska.