2025-10 | OP Shrouded Lance - 08 | J-2 Report
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 07 - 25/10
Intelligence Collected
ITEM 1 - HUMINT #303825SL28
Positive Identification (PID) of two JPEL-1 targets, Niko Žižek (RIGGWELTER) and Strike Team member Orešnik (NOVA MEDIC), secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA as well as civilian medical staff.
ITEM 2 - SIGINT #303925SL29
PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA, material includes a transfer of $4,200,000 (USD) in cypto currency to an unknown payee. Note attached on the transfer confirms that the receiving party is working with a secondary NOVA team in order to arrange exfiltration of the President, Lavrencij Krečič. It is believed at this stage that Krečič has been evacuated from the country covertly.
ITEM 3 - SIGINT #304025SL30
Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE PILLAR, material includes outbound laptop communications detailing orders to prepare a ballistic missile for launchsystem within the city of SušiceSušice. The movement of four additional systems were cancelled and orders to exfiltrate the assets were cancelled, likely to due pressure applied by the Task-Force alongside additional factors (REL: TRIGGER #304125SL31).
ITEM 4 - HUMINT/SIGINT #304125SL31
PRPRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH BRAVO, material includes an outbound E-Mail to an unknown recipient sent by Lavrencij Krečič. The message covers the failure to covertly exfiltrate ballistic missile assets out of the country, likely due to pressure applied by the Task-Force (REL: TRIGGER #304025SL30), as well as indication of further actions relating to Krečič's exfiltration plan given the change of circumstances.
ITEM 5 - HUMINT/SIGINT #304225SL32
PRPRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH BRAVO, material includes an outbound text-message found on the body of a person of interest with a uniform similar to JPEL-2 target, identified in prior J-2 Report (REL: TRIGGER #302625SL16). The message confirms the exfiltration of a VIP out of the AO, likely to be Lavrencij Krečič, with the specific mention of "Glory to Toska"
Deployment Intelligence Breakdown
The Intervention Task-Force has secured an overwhelming majority of territory within Novihrastova including the recent capture of the capital city. Surrenders of NNDF Rapidregulars and reservists are expected over the coming weeks, demilitarisation efforts will be handled by elements of 4 PARA (R) and incoming elements of 2 SCOTS and 6 SCOTS (R) in order to relieve existing Task-Force components, specifically UK Commando Forces (UKCF) and 2 PARA. Žan Kmetič (C/S: SHEPHERD) will be forming a provisional government in place of the fractured establishment to assist with national stability.
INTERPOL are set to publish a RED NOTICE for Lavrencij Krečič, J-2 are pursuing leads on "Toska" and the individuals relating to SIGINT Trigger #304225SL32. At this stage it is believe that the Armament Programprogramme haswas been severely hampered, however dueset to progressionprovide ofand supply ballistic missile productionlaunch itsystems isto J-2'smentioned priority"benefactors" thatas well as add to the materialNNDF isarsenal. securedMAB-11 ashave soonconfirmed asvia possiblequestioning to prevent further collateral and intended damage by any extreme action executed byof the NNDF. TheFormer Defence Minister, Andre Gradišnik (HOBGOBLIN), is in custody; to be actively questioned by MAB-11 for potential HUMINT hits during further operations in-country. Alastair Blackwood has been recovered and is pending release to FCDO following review by medical staff.
HUMINT #303325SL23
Note: 4 Military Intelligence (4MI) has confirmedthat the compoundFormer utilizedEconomic Minister, Niko Žižek, was involved in the armament programme to be a modified variantallocation of thefunds Z-225and Biochemical Compound. It is unknown howcoordinating the programme staff secured the compound and if it was modified prior to receiving. MAB-5 (CNEOU) has confirmed via exploitationprocurement of securedassets electronic material that no current tests have been conducted on human subjects.
TOP SECRET // EYES ONLYReport ID: BRZ-2025-1094Distribution: Director, Environmental Risk, Operations Desk
SUMMARYField and laboratory indicators confirm that recent controlled explosive tests at research lab testing area achieved the program’s tactical yield objectives. However, collateral chemical by-products from the detonations have migrated into local groundwater and surface waterways, causing acute phytotoxicity across the downstream riparian zone. Vegetation mortality and anomalous water chemistry present significant environmental and public-health concerns that were not anticipated in pre-test assessments.
SIGINT #303425SL24
Note: Charles Ashcroft is set to be released to the FCDO's custody via confirmation that he was working against his will since his abduction. The FCDO alongside MoD staff will debrief Ashcroft appropriately after he is reviewed by 16 Medical Regt. staff.
[Comms data - Sent][Translated]
Ashcroft has been spotted leaving notes and trying to access comms equipment. The evacuation team put him at the gate house jail but has delayed our evac as we ensure nothing is left behind for the Brits to find. We understand that the ambush point setup at the Lumber mill might be engaged first, if so we'll use the distraction to time our evac. Once we've left the lab you are clear to conduct your fire mission upon their arrival. Command chain established in Kvilda for further guidance on program security. ~E.
SIGINT #303525SL25
Note: MS Hurvinke was initially anticipated by J-2 Staff to be the Assembly Site / Laboratory. Confirmation of site recommends the continued employment of CBRN Countermeasures.
[Comms data - Sent][Translated]
We've transferred the remaining supplies from the airfield to the assembly site. The repurposed MS Hurvinke should be receiving the convoy shortly. We've taken as many back roads as possible while using civilian liveries to avoid enemy ISTAR.
SIGINT #303625SL26
Note: MoD has been made aware of intents by NNDF with emergency intercept of weapon systems elevated to HIGH PRIORITY.
[Comms data - Sent][Translated]
Status updateAmbush point is set, troops have been instructed to evacuate the area at first sign of contact and call in the fire mission. Presidential offices outside the capital near Modrava has been secured and reinforced. Assembly of the ballistic missiles and launch platforms are nearly complete, we might not be able to get them out of the country, our benefactor has suggested testing them by striking targets within Ukraine. If we go ahead with this plan, i suggest we leave the country before hand. I'll sort out our evacuation strategy and meet you near the capital.
Recommended Actions
Rebel Group, known as the "Agrarian Revolt", are to be considered INACTIVE at this stage of deployment. Their leader, Žan Kmetič, is under protection of 3 RANGER (SO Bde.).
Continued employment of Suppression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD) towards the capital city and surrounding suspected PRESTIGE Objective areas should be maintained in order to prevent hostile exfiltration and support measures.
J-2 Recommendation: SABOTAGE TASKING(S)
SABOTAGE Infrastructure and CapabilityNNDF InfrastructureRadar Station "Maly Koznik" (GR: 096-064) -ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 40 CDO. DETERMINE THIS COMPLETECommunications Infrastructure "Svatobor" (GR: 002-025)
NNDF Air Base "Namest" -ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 2 PARA DETERMINE THIS COMPLETESecondary Targets of OpportunitySecondary Targets Have Been Removed From The Suggestion Based On Possible Effective Strikes Made on JAC SEAD Effort
Due to limited capabilities of the NNDF's AAA Network it is possible to action targets via No. 617 Sqn. RAF as coordinated by 2PARA (Via C/S: Monarch) or UKSF elements at disposal of PJHQ.
It is J-2's continued recommendation to equip ground elements with additional transport capabilities to enable their mission without entirely relying and straining support assets, recommendation directs the employment of the Polaris MRZR to support operations and transport capabilities. Alongside this the employment of CBRN Countermeasures is also to be maintained, especially towards suspected test areas and Ballistic Missile facilities. It is advised that all active PAX carry the appropriate CBRN countermeasures and PPE on their persons to ensure force-wide safety. Considerations should also be exercised when handling contents affiliated withsupporting the armament programme.
GCHQ Attache, HVTAlastair A-HBlackwood, Slateshas haveconfirmed beenthat attached
Openis Leads
coordinating Rebelfurther Group,investigation identified asinto the "Agrarianprogramme Revolt"based on the procured intelligence secured by the Task-Force, MAB-5 (CNOEU) and MAB-11 (DHU) are still notextracting tointelligence befrom trustedinfrastructure withand Operationalpersons Securityof (OPSEC)interest orat Personalthis Securitystage. (PERSEC)Indication material,of including all personnel involved.