Skip to main content

2025-10 | OP Shrouded Lance - 08 | J-2 Report

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 07 - 25/10

Intelligence Collected

ITEM 1 - HUMINT #303825SL28

Positive Identification (PID) of two JPEL-1 targets, Niko Žižek (RIGGWELTER) and Strike Team member Orešnik (NOVA MEDIC), secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA as well as civilian medical staff.

ITEM 2 - SIGINT #303925SL29

PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE OATH ALPHA, material includes a transfer of $4,200,000 (USD) in cypto currency to an unknown payee. Note attached on the transfer confirms that the receiving party is working with a secondary NOVA team in order to arrange exfiltration of the President, Lavrencij Krečič. It is believed at this stage that Krečič has been evacuated from the country covertly.

ITEM 3 - SIGINT #304025SL30

Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE PILLAR, material includes outbound laptop communications detailing orders to prepare a ballistic missile for launch within the city of Sušice

ITEM 4 - HUMINT/SIGINT #304125SL31

PR

ITEM 5 - HUMINT/SIGINT #304225SL32

PR

Intelligence Breakdown

The NNDF Rapid Armament Program has been severely hampered, however due to progression of ballistic missile production it is J-2's priority that the material is secured as soon as possible to prevent further collateral and intended damage by any extreme action executed by the NNDF. The Defence Minister, Andre Gradišnik (HOBGOBLIN), is in custody; to be actively questioned by MAB-11 for potential HUMINT hits during further operations in-country. Alastair Blackwood has been recovered and is pending release to FCDO following review by medical staff.

HUMINT #303325SL23

Note: 4 Military Intelligence (4MI) has confirmed the compound utilized in the armament programme to be a modified variant of the Z-225 Biochemical Compound. It is unknown how the programme staff secured the compound and if it was modified prior to receiving. MAB-5 (CNEOU) has confirmed via exploitation of secured electronic material that no current tests have been conducted on human subjects.


TOP SECRET // EYES ONLY
Report ID: BRZ-2025-1094
Distribution: Director, Environmental Risk, Operations Desk

SUMMARY
Field and laboratory indicators confirm that recent controlled explosive tests at research lab testing area achieved the program’s tactical yield objectives. However, collateral chemical by-products from the detonations have migrated into local groundwater and surface waterways, causing acute phytotoxicity across the downstream riparian zone. Vegetation mortality and anomalous water chemistry present significant environmental and public-health concerns that were not anticipated in pre-test assessments. 

SIGINT #303425SL24

Note: Charles Ashcroft is set to be released to the FCDO's custody via confirmation that he was working against his will since his abduction. The FCDO alongside MoD staff will debrief Ashcroft appropriately after he is reviewed by 16 Medical Regt. staff.


[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

Ashcroft has been spotted leaving notes and trying to access comms equipment. The evacuation team put him at the gate house jail but has delayed our evac as we ensure nothing is left behind for the Brits to find. We understand that the ambush point setup at the Lumber mill might be engaged first, if so we'll use the distraction to time our evac. Once we've left the lab you are clear to conduct your fire mission upon their arrival. Command chain established in Kvilda for further guidance on program security. ~E.

SIGINT #303525SL25

Note: MS Hurvinke was initially anticipated by J-2 Staff to be the Assembly Site / Laboratory. Confirmation of site recommends the continued employment of CBRN Countermeasures.


[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

We've transferred the remaining supplies from the airfield to the assembly site. The repurposed MS Hurvinke should be receiving the convoy shortly. We've taken as many back roads as possible while using civilian liveries to avoid enemy ISTAR.

SIGINT #303625SL26

Note: MoD has been made aware of intents by NNDF with emergency intercept of weapon systems elevated to HIGH PRIORITY.


[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

Status update
Ambush point is set, troops have been instructed to evacuate the area at first sign of contact and call in the fire mission. Presidential offices outside the capital near Modrava has been secured and reinforced. Assembly of the ballistic missiles and launch platforms are nearly complete, we might not be able to get them out of the country, our benefactor has suggested testing them by striking targets within Ukraine. If we go ahead with this plan, i suggest we leave the country before hand. I'll sort out our evacuation strategy and meet you near the capital.

Rebel Group, known as the "Agrarian Revolt", are to be considered INACTIVE at this stage of deployment. Their leader, Žan Kmetič, is under protection of 3 RANGER (SO Bde.).

Continued employment of Suppression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD) towards the capital city and surrounding suspected PRESTIGE Objective areas should be maintained in order to prevent hostile exfiltration and support measures.

J-2 Recommendation: SABOTAGE TASKING(S)
  • SABOTAGE Infrastructure and Capability
      • NNDF Infrastructure
        • Radar Station "Maly Koznik" (GR: 096-064) - ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 40 CDO. DETERMINE THIS COMPLETE
        • Communications Infrastructure "Svatobor" (GR: 002-025)
      • NNDF Air Base "Namest" - ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 2 PARA DETERMINE THIS COMPLETE
        • Secondary Targets of Opportunity
          • Secondary Targets Have Been Removed From The Suggestion Based On Possible Effective Strikes Made on JAC SEAD Effort

Due to limited capabilities of the NNDF's AAA Network it is possible to action targets via No. 617 Sqn. RAF as coordinated by 2PARA (Via C/S: Monarch) or UKSF elements at disposal of PJHQ.

It is J-2's continued recommendation to equip ground elements with additional transport capabilities to enable their mission without entirely relying and straining support assets, recommendation directs the employment of the Polaris MRZR to support operations and transport capabilities. Alongside this the employment of CBRN Countermeasures is also to be maintained, especially towards suspected test areas and Ballistic Missile facilities. It is advised that all active PAX carry the appropriate CBRN countermeasures and PPE on their persons to ensure force-wide safety. Considerations should also be exercised when handling contents affiliated with the armament programme.

HVT A-H Slates have been attached

Open Leads

Rebel Group, identified as the "Agrarian Revolt" are still not to be trusted with Operational Security (OPSEC) or Personal Security (PERSEC) material, including all personnel involved.