2025-10 | OP Shrouded Lance - 07 | J-2 Report

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 06 - 18/10

Intelligence Collected

ITEM 1 - HUMINT #303225SL22

Positive Identification (PID) of two JPEL-2 targets, Alastair Blackwood (STELLA) and Edvard Petrovič (STRONGBOW), secured on OBJECTIVE HAVOC as well as FOUR other work staff.

ITEM 2 - HUMINT #303325SL23

PRESTIGE Human Intelligence (HUMINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE HAVOC, material includes a written report identified under the tag "BRZ-2025-1094". Documentation mentions the employment of tests utilizing a chemical compound to be identified in their armament programme, affects of the testing have resulted in extreme unintended environmental damage including the contamination of groundwater and surface-level waterways this has been raised as a concern on the report however no indicated change in its employment was documented, suggesting the chemical is still in use. Documentation was signed off the the programme director; Edvard Petrovič. Confirmation from

ITEM 3 - SIGINT #303425SL24

Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE HAVOC, material includes an outbound communication from Edvard Petrovič indicating the imprisonment of Charles Ashcroft, a JPEL-2 target, who was detained due maintaining possession of documents to be disposed by the programme staff as well as attempts to access communications infrastructure. Indication was made in the communication that Petrovič was under the impression that OBJECTIVE NEMISIS was to be engaged first by the Task-Force and had intent to evacuate under timings if that was the case. The village of Kvilda was indicated also to be the assigned site to coordinate C-2, Command and Control, of guidance program security for the ballistic missiles worked on by the programme staff.

ITEM 4 - SIGINT #303525SL25

PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on OBJECTIVE FAMINE, material includes an outbound communication confirming the location of the ballistic missile assembly site, utilizing motorized cargo transport systems under civilian liveries to ensure the maintenance of Operational Security (OPSEC). The site, identified as MS Hurvinke has been confirmed to be the delivery point.

ITEM 5 - SIGINT #303625SL26

PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on a C-2 Node within the village of Kvilda (REL: TRIGGER #303425SL24), material includes a SITREP from NNDF Combat Personnel from their position outside of OBJECTIVE NEMISIS. Notable information however relays the Presidential Offices within the village of Modrava have been reinforced, likely housing the President himself. Additionally, the report makes mention that the ballistic missile platforms worked on by armament programme staff are nearing completion with reference from their "Benefactor" to employ them in striking Ukraine if they are unable to evacuate the weapons from the country. If the action is committed: Executive officials are expected to evacuate from the country.

ITEM 6 - HUMINT/SIGINT #303725SL27

PRESTIGE Human Intelligence (HUMINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was secured on the C-2 Node within the village of Kvilda (REL: TRIGGER #303425SL24), material includes a large cache of physical documentation, portable servers, and two maps of the Altian Territory of Malden, this also includes the successful capture of JPEL-1 Target, Andre Gradišnik, the Defence Minister and intended target for OBJECTIVE NEMESIS.

Intelligence Breakdown

HUMINT #303325SL23

Note: 4 Military Intelligence (4MI) has confirmed the compound utilized in the armament programme to be a modified variant of the Z-225 Biochemical Compound. It is unknown how the programme staff secured the compound and if it was modified prior to receiving. MAB-5 (CNEOU) has confirmed via exploitation of secured electronic material that no current tests have been conducted on human subjects.

TOP SECRET // EYES ONLY
Report ID: BRZ-2025-1094
Distribution: Director, Environmental Risk, Operations Desk

SUMMARY
Field and laboratory indicators confirm that recent controlled explosive tests at research lab testing area achieved the program’s tactical yield objectives. However, collateral chemical by-products from the detonations have migrated into local groundwater and surface waterways, causing acute phytotoxicity across the downstream riparian zone. Vegetation mortality and anomalous water chemistry present significant environmental and public-health concerns that were not anticipated in pre-test assessments.

SIGINT #303425SL24

Note: Charles Ashcroft is set to be released to the FCDO's custody via confirmation that he was working against his will since his abduction. The FCDO alongside MoD staff will debrief Ashcroft appropriately after he is reviewed by 16 Medical Regt. staff.

[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

Ashcroft has been spotted leaving notes and trying to access comms equipment. The evacuation team put him at the gate house jail but has delayed our evac as we ensure nothing is left behind for the Brits to find. We understand that the ambush point setup at the Lumber mill might be engaged first, if so we'll use the distraction to time our evac. Once we've left the lab you are clear to conduct your fire mission upon their arrival. Command chain established in Kvilda for further guidance on program security. ~E.

SIGINT #303525SL25

Note: MS Hurvinke was initially anticipated by J-2 Staff to be the Assembly Site / Laboratory. Confirmation of site recommends the continued employment of CBRN Countermeasures.

[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

We've transferred the remaining supplies from the airfield to the assembly site. The repurposed MS Hurvinke should be receiving the convoy shortly. We've taken as many back roads as possible while using civilian liveries to avoid enemy ISTAR.

SIGINT #303625SL26

Note: MoD has been made aware of intents by NNDF with emergency intercept of weapon systems elevated to HIGH PRIORITY.

[Comms data - Sent][Translated]

Status update
Ambush point is set, troops have been instructed to evacuate the area at first sign of contact and call in the fire mission. Presidential offices outside the capital near Modrava has been secured and reinforced. Assembly of the ballistic missiles and launch platforms are nearly complete, we might not be able to get them out of the country, our benefactor has suggested testing them by striking targets within Ukraine. If we go ahead with this plan, i suggest we leave the country before hand. I'll sort out our evacuation strategy and meet you near the capital.

Recommended Actions

While the Rebel Group, known as the "Agrarian Revolt", are friendly and their leader has been verified: Personal Security (PERSEC) should be followed at all times to ensure the identities of personnel is fully obfuscated, given that 40 Commando, Royal Marines, have been compromised (REL: TRIGGER #302625SL16) it is advised this policy is maintained for other elements active within the Task-Force.

J-2 Recommendation: SABOTAGE TASKING(S)

SABOTAGE Infrastructure and Capability
- - NNDF Infrastructure
    - Radar Station "Maly Koznik" (GR: 096-064) - ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 40 CDO. DETERMINE THIS COMPLETE
    - Communications Infrastructure "Svatobor" (GR: 002-025)
  - NNDF Air Base "Namest"
    - Priority Targets of Opportunity
      - Rail Connection to Base (GR: 087-031) - ACTIONS EXECUTED BY 40 CDO. DETERMINE THIS COMPLETE BY PROXY
      - Radar Infrastructure (GR: 094-029)
      - Main Runway Tarmac (GS: 09-03) - ACTIONS EXECUTED BY JAC SEAD DETERMINE THIS COMPLETE
    - Secondary Targets of Opportunity
      - Secondary Targets Have Been Removed From The Suggestion Based On Possible Effective Strikes Made on JAC SEAD Effort

Intents on targeting the marked locations is to DISABLE and HINDER NNDF Capabilities to enable the Task-Force in maintaining ground and air superiority. Recommended actions can be achieved by via usage of controlled artillery fires (148 Battery 29Cdo., C/S: Thunder 0).

Due to limited capabilities of the NNDF's AAA Network it is possible to action targets via No. 617 Sqn. RAF as coordinated by 2PARA (Via C/S: Monarch) or UKSF elements at disposal of PJHQ.

It is J-2's STRONG recommendation to exercise the priority of securing the laboratory in order to secure PRESTIGE HUMINT and JPEL-2 targets. An advisory plan has been generated to direct personnel with actions on objective.

Additionally, it is J-2's recommendation to equip ground elements with additional transport capabilities to enable their mission without entirely relying and straining support assets, recommendation directs the employment of the Polaris MRZR to support operations and transport capabilities.

HVT A-H Slates have been attached

Open Leads

Considerations of a CBRN threat should be taken seriously given current INT picture, it is advised that all active PAX carry the appropriate CBRN countermeasures and PPE on their persons to ensure force-wide safety. Considerations should also be exercised when handling contents affiliated with the armament programme. With the laboratory identified, extended CBRN Procedures should be exercised and the mandatory need to carry PPE should be ordered.

Rebel Group, identified as the "Agrarian Revolt" are still not to be trusted with Operational Security (OPSEC) or Personal Security (PERSEC) material, including all personnel involved.