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2025-09 | OP Shrouded Lance - 04 | J-2 Report WIP

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 03 - 27/09

Intelligence Collected

ITEM 1 - SIGINT #301925SL9

TBD

ITEM 2 - SIGINT #302025SL10

WIP

ITEM 3 - SIGINT #302125SL11

WIP

Intelligence Breakdown

WIP

SIGINT #301925SL9

Note: Overall effort of NNDF at this time is to prioritize focus against ongoing Task-Force Offensive Actions


[Comms data][Translated]

We need to put pressure and build up forces in the west. The revolt members are building and our frontline is staggering. Armour is en route while we build up a significant infantry force to combat the brits and run raids into the revolts farmland territory. We have a high value extraction for an advisor to the missile program happening near Rabi. Fortifications are in place but an advance from the west may open up a route to the airstrip. Delay as long as possible till we can establish more permanent fortifications and trenchlines.

SIGINT #302025SL10

Note: It is likely the transcript refers to Edvard and Charles, two scientists suspected on heading up the ballistic missile program. Vocabulary usage from "C" indicates likely ID as Charles Ashcroft and "E" as Edvard Petrovič


[Audio transcription][Translated]

Urgent. Priority transcription for review by NOVA.

E: Where have you been? We had to start the briefing without you.
C: Security, mate. East gate got new NOVA guards and since the invasion they’ve been checking me twice.
E: Of course. How do they expect us to work in this kind of environment?
C: Quickly, I’d assume.
E: Naturally. Surely they understand this project was already a large undertaking, bombs on our heads will not help this.
C: We’re decently far from the fighting, and I saw the reserves gearing up from the dormitory. We could probably build at least one module before we’re all killed.
E: If the bombs don’t get us then NOVA will. They will bury us before they let us speak before an assembly.
C: Probably true. So what progress has been made from the initial designs I produced?
E: Not much, we’ve fixed the potential issue with the inertial guidance, and new instructions to connect to GLONASS are already being worked over by the team.
C: GLONASS? I thought the Russians shot that idea down.
E: They did. 

SIGINT #302125SL11

Note: NNDF is likely to operate SOF assets within secured territory to target local GREENFOR rebels.


[Comms data][Translated]

We need to put pressure and build up forces in the west. The revolt members are building and our frontline is staggering. Armour is en route while we build up a significant infantry force to combat the brits and run raids into the revolts farmland territory. We have a high value extraction for an advisor to the missile program happening near Rabi. Fortifications are in place but an advance from the west may open up a route to the airstrip. Delay as long as possible till we can establish more permanent fortifications and trenchlines.

It is J-2's recommendation that caution is to be maintained when operating alongside the rebel elements if peer-to-peer contact is made. Despite friendly intentions, their capabilities may prove to be liable for potential breaches of Operational Security (OPSEC) and Personal Security (PERSEC).

J-2 recommend the usage of strategic sabotage and/or Suppression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD) measures to ensure full Task-Force effectiveness for enhanced long-term efforts on this intervention deployment:

J-2 Recommendation: SABOTAGE TASKING(S)
  • SABOTAGE Infrastructure and Capability
      • NNDF Infrastructure
        • Radar Station "Maly Koznik" (GR: 096-064)
          • Considerations: Topography suggest Military Bunker/Sub-Terrain Complex on location
        • Communications Infrastructure "Svatobor" (GR: 002-025)
      • NNDF Air Base "Namest"
        • Priority Targets of Opportunity
          • Rail Connection to Base (GR: 087-031)
          • Radar Infrastructure (GR: 094-029)
          • Main Runway Tarmac (GS: 09-03)
        • Secondary Targets of Opportunity
          • Suspected Munitions Storage (GR: 089-028)
          • Aircraft Hangars "Alpha" (GR: 098-039* Rough Spread)
          • Aircraft Hangars "Bravo" (GR: 093-026* Rough Spread)
          • Aircraft Hangars "Charlie" (GR: 091-024* Rough Spread) - Includes Susp. Munitions Storage
          • Transmitter Tower (GR: 090-027)

Intents on targeting the marked locations is to DISABLE and HINDER NNDF Capabilities to enable the Task-Force in maintaining ground and air superiority. Recommended actions can be achieved by via usage of controlled artillery fires (148 Battery 29Cdo., C/S: Thunder 0).

Due to limited capabilities of the NNDF's AAA Network it is possible to action targets via No. 617 Sqn. RAF as coordinated by 2PARA (Via C/S: Monarch) or UKSF elements at disposal of PJHQ.

It is J-2's STRONG RECCOMENDATION to exercise additional considerations when actioning personnel on secondary transit location (REL: OBJ CYCLONE) in order to secure PRESTIGE HUMINT material and acquire location to transit information in order to ascertain location of "Laboratory" mentioned in previously secured Intelligence (REL: TRIGGER #301625SL6  #301725SL7).

J-2 Recommendation: ACTIONS ON OBJECTIVE CYCLONE

Update: 25SEP25 - Removed Contents, O-Group have not reviewed action recommendations

Open Leads

Novihrastova Special Operations Forces, or NSSO, have been successfully identified with activity present within the AOR. With consistent positive effects by the Task-Force, it is expected that the NNDF/NOVA and affiliated agencies will prepare contingency measures to protect the mentioned "laboratory" (REL: TRIGGER #301625SL6 / #301725SL7). Actions on secondary transit location "Velke Hydcice" are to be exercised with extreme caution. It is J-2's immediate advice to consult J-2 Recommendation: ACTIONS ON OBJECTIVE CYCLONE for guidance to ensure successful actions on target to further build intelligence picture.

Rebel Group, identified as the "Agrarian Revolt" are still not to be trusted with Operational Security (OPSEC) or Personal Security (PERSEC) material until fully verified, including all personnel involved.