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2025-09 | OP Shrouded Lance - 01 | J-2 Report

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS - OP SHROUDED LANCE 00 - 13/09

Intelligence Collected

ITEM 1 - SIGINT #300825RI2

PRESTIGE Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) was intercepted during operations on 30 AUG 2025 during combat operations in Tembelan (REF: OP RED ISLAND). The intercept made reference to a freight manifest under a callsign "B.M.G.C".

ITEM 2 - HUMINT #300925RI3

PRESTIGE Human Intelligence (HUMINT) was recovered by elements of the 2nd Battalion, the Parachute Regiment during actions on a Tembelan Military Air Installation. The freight manifest was found on a laptop, recovered from the remains of the Air Traffic Control (ATC) tower following a chain reaction after a breaching charge was detonated into a room with munitions. (REF: 0B. B.M.G.C Freight Manifest). Exploitation by MAB-5 confirms that the aforementioned parts align with those used in Ballistic Missile Guidance Computers.

ITEM 3 - OSINT/SIGINT #301025SL1

Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) Denoted in the Operation Situation Report includes usage of near-peer military equipment, weapon systems and vehicles. Utilizing both eastern and western block platforms. 

Intelligence Breakdown

4 Military Intelligence (4MI) have confirmed that an ambush on a munitions convoy bound for Ukraine that was ambushed by initially suspected Russian Special Operations (SpN) has been confirmed as elements of the Novihrastova Intelligence and Security Agency (NOVA). Ukrainian partners confirmed the articles include Polish PPZR Piorum Man-Portable Air Defense Systems as well as Anti-Drone and Missile Warning Systems.

Signals and Human Intelligence confirms that the Tembelan Government have operated a series of freight transfers containing high-end networking hardware, identified by MAB-5 to be components used in manufacturing Ballistic Missile Guidance Computers. GCHQ staff confirmed an interception of the same freight manifest. MAB-11 have been assigned on orders to support one agent Alastair Blackwood who is the assigned point of contact for the duration of Operation Shrouded Lance.

It is also likely that due to the extensive transit routes and consistent "changing of hands" that the companies "Novacast" is a shell company utilized by the Novihrastovan Government or Military arm, the Novagorija National Defence Force (NNDF) to ensure the equipment dispatched by the Tembelan government (and potential partners) reaches its end destination without flagging authorities.

OSINT/SIGINT Report (#301025SL1)

Imagery recovered includes (3) image(s):

  • Weapons Demonstration
    • Platforms Include:
      • LAV-25 Armoured Personnel Carrier
      • Rooikat 105 Armoured Reconnaissance Vehicle
SIGINT Intercept (#300825RI2)

"All incoming shipments have been recalled from our partners. We Managed to ship out the important one assets, callsign B.M.G.C for the Russians. All assets are being recalled back to the major and minor airfields remaining. With extraction plans in place to exfil the president."

HUMINT Freight Manifest Report (#300925RI3)

Manifest #: FM-2025-0098 
Date: 2025/08/22
Mode: Air → Rail (Intermodal Transfer)
Origin: Tembelan International Airport
Destination: Novy Dvur Railway Station, Novihrastova

Consignor (Shipper):
Tembelan Components Ltd.
Pengolahan Industrial Park, Tembelan Island

Consignee (Receiver):
NovaCast Corporation
Novy Dvur, Novihrastova

Cargo Details:

Package No. Description of Good Weight (kg)  Volume (m³)  Packaging
001  Rack Servers (20 units)  400  3.2  Pallet
002 Networking Switches (50 units) 250 2.1 Crate
003 Server Power Units (100 units) 300 2.4 Crate
004 Spare Components (mixed)  180 1.2 Box(s)

Total Weight: 1,150 kg
Total Volume: 10.1 m³
Total Packages: 4

Transport Instructions:
1. Air transport from Tembelan International Airport to Tuzla International Airport (Bosnia).
2. Transfer to Tuzla Railway Depot. Handled by Rail Cargo Group (Bosnia & Herzegovina).
3. Rail transport through Croatia via HŽ Cargo.
4. Final delivery into Novihrastova via LOG RAIL to Novy Dvur Station.

No Recommended COA at this time.

Open Leads

It is advised to exercise extreme caution due to current limited intelligence picture. Following Intelligence acquired by GCHQ and verified by contingents of 4MI and MAB-11, a NATO Task-Force on orders will begin initiate intervention operations in the country following hostile actions against Ukraine and a rapid Hostile armament process. 

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